Islam is Dying: New statistics show that Islam is dying a slow death.
Post Millenialism Today ^ | July 8, 2016 | Kenneth Gentry
Posted on 6/19/2017, 4:51:04 PM by SeekAndFind
During the last centuries, the number of Muslims in the world has been increasing steadily. Statistics for the year 2010 are telling us that the Muslim population is 1.6 billion. 1 In 1973 the Muslim population was only 0.5 billion. 2 Many Muslims believe that Islam will be the world’s religion in future, because Islam is growing. However new statistics show that Islam is dying a slow death. The following reasons:
1. Decline in birth rate under Muslims
For many centuries, Islam was growing because of a higher birth rate. However, since last decades birth rate is declining fast. From 1990-2010 the world birth rate declined from 3.40 to 2.56. A fall of 0.84 births per women or a birth rate decline of 25% over the 20 years. The average birth rate for the Muslim majority countries declined in the same period from 5.25 to 3.00. A Muslim birth rate decline of 43% over the 20 years. Extrapolation of the statistics shows that the Muslim birth rate will go below world average. The Birth rate of 49 Muslim countries is -40%, while worldwide average is -33%. There is an extraordinary decline in birth rate under Muslims.
The decline of the birth rate is visible in many Muslim countries, including Algeria, Egypt, Iran, Jordan, Lebanon, Tunisia and Turkey. Muslim birth rate decrease in Iran is one of the greatest records in history. There are many more Muslim countries with a birth rate decrease of 60% or more: Albania, Algeria, Bangladesh, Kuwait, Libya, Oman, Qatar, Tunisia, and the United Arab Emirates. A Muslim woman has today 2.6 less babies than her mother, which is a faster decline than worldwide average.
Extrapolation of the statistics show that Muslim growth rate will go down. A stable population needs a birth rate of 2.1 children. That means that the Muslim population will decrease both relative and absolute. It also means that it is the main reason that Islam is a fast dying religion. Unlike Christianity, Islam is not able to grow much by conversion, see next paragraph.
2. Low growth by conversion compared with Christianity
There are more conversions to Islam than conversions to most other religions. However, there are almost three times more conversions to Christianity than to Islam. For example, in Africa more than 6 million Muslims become a Christian 7. Therefore Islam is not able to grow faster than Christianity by conversions. Muslim converts leave Islam soon: Muslim sociologist Dr. Ilyas Ba-Yunus has published that 75% of New Muslim converts in the U.S. leave Islam within a 3 years. Because birth rate of Muslims went below world average and Islam cannot compensate with conversions, Islam is dying, while Christianity is growing.
3. Decline in marriage rate under Muslims
More and more Muslim women are marrying a husband who isn’t a Muslim. Lots of educated Muslims discover the weakness and barren elements of Islam. The higher education of Muslims and the improved information channels have brought about the slow death of Islam.
4. Muslim growth will be less than Christian growth in near future
India is one of the countries in the world with a large Muslim population. According to statistics of the Indian government, Muslims still have a higher growth rate than Christians, but the differences are lower every year.
What causes a higher growth? Higher fertility rates, higher immigration and lower mortality rate, but fertility rate is most important. What causes a high fertility rate? Low education of women and low budget. Muslims are the poorest group in India, while Christians belong to the most richest. Although Christians are rich and Muslims poor and Christians have a lower fertility rate than Muslims, the growth of Christians is the same as the average population in India. This is because of conversion of Hindus and Muslims to Christianity. From the Indian government statistics in 2015 we may expect that the growth of Christian will be higher than the groth of Muslims after 2030.
5. Islam is an anti-intellectual religion
Because a Muslim must accept only the Qur’an as source of truth since 12th century, free thinking is forbidden. The rise of the historical research and its application to the Qur’an and Islam in general means there is nothing new in the Qur’an that was not available before 7th century. The Qur’an is not able to withstand the onslaught of Western scientific thought. Many Christians have accepted the results of science, adjusted their beliefs accordingly. Muslims have yet to take even this first step.
Therefore Islam is against the intellect and a Muslim cannot get the same level of intellectual benefits as Christians.
6. Economic backwardness in Muslim countries
The forbidden free thinking stopped effective modernization of the economy of Muslim countries. The result is that there is economic poverty of most Muslim countries. The Sharia only reflects the social and economic conditions of the 7th century society in Arabia. Therefore, more and more Muslims come to the conclusion that the Qur’an is not the answer for all the problems in the modern world. The principles in the Qur’an are an obstacle to moral progress. Today, Muslim countries are the poorest in the world. Many Muslims immigrate to rich countries with many Christians.
7. Moral decline under Muslims
Muhammad cannot be put on the same moral plane as Jesus Christ or other great spiritual people. The worst legacy of Muhammad was his insistence that the Qur’an was the literal word of God, and once and for all, closing the possibility of new intellectual ideas and freedom of thought.
Birth rate statistics, marriage rate are declining for Muslims and they are moving below world average. This means that Muslim population cannot grow faster than Christianity. Furthermore there are strong indications that the worldwide Muslim population is declining. Islam is outdated in 21th century and doesn’t fit in our modern world. A Muslim has the option to select faith in Jesus Christ as way to Paradise, personal relation with God, and to be an ambassador for God’s moral values.
1. Pew Research Center’s Forum on Religion & Public Life, The Future of the Global Muslim Population, 2011.
2. The CIA World Fact Book, Edition 2008.
3. Robert Spencer, Islam Unveiled. Disturbing questions about The World’s Fastest-Growing Faith, Encounter Books, San Francisco, 2002, p. 121-123.
4. Nicholas Eberstadt, Fertility Decline in the Muslim World: A Veritable Sea-Change, Still Curiously Unnoticed, 2012, http://www.aei.org/press/foreign-and-defense-policy/fertility-decline-in-the-muslim-world-a-veritable-sea-change-still-curiously-unnoticed-release/.
5. The CIA World Fact Book, Editions 1998-2009.
6. Nicholas Eberstadt and Apoorva Shah, Fertility Decline in the Muslim World, in: Policy Review, Hoover Institution Stanford University, June 1, 2012.
7.The Muslim Times, Six Million African Muslims Convert to Christianity Each Year?, http://themuslimtimes.info/2012/04/18/six-million-african-muslims-convert-to-christianity-each-year/.
8.Ilyas Ba-Yunus, Sociological and demographical survey of American Muslims.
9. Indian government, Census, NFHS, NSS, 2015. 10. Surjit S. Bhalla, Census, Christians, Conversions, The Indian Express, September 1, 2015.
11. Robert Spencer, Islam Unveiled. Disturbing questions about The World’s Fastest-Growing Faith, Encounter Books, San Francisco, 2002, p. 121-123.
12. Ibn Warraq, Why I am not a Muslim, Prometheus, New York, 1995, p. 33.
13. Ibid, p. 171.
14. Ibn Warraq, Why I am not a Muslim, Prometheus, New York, 1995, p. 350.